Geffen Loses Focus : A Comment (Swamland 3A)

From Linda at Swampland (time.com)

RB: I don't know what polls you are looking at, but keep in mind that these polls generally are taken from likely voters that are either registered as GOP or DEM. The independent voter is virtually ignored until after the primary-caucus rounds.

The way it works is voters to vote in primary-caucus must be registered with a declared party. All voters can change their party preference, including independents, if they want to vote in the primaries-caucus. This can make no difference or it can be significant.

Just a caution. But you are right that the GOP is hurting at this point. Giuliani hasn't been 'hit' yet by the negative campaigners. That could be significant.